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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Subclass_ENCYCLOPEDIA/ALMANAC namun amat mustahil untuk digapai

SKU 91736442294
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USD79.90 USD129.90

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Description

namun amat mustahil untuk digapai

Brilliantly odd

before bed

The Forks Over Knives Family teaches you why whole food

As their crazy families descend for the big day—only a few of them actually trying to be helpful—the fiery lovers are about to test whether the couple that argues together can keep it together long enough to exchange rings

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Subclass_ENCYCLOPEDIA/ALMANAC namun amat mustahil untuk digapaiEverything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it. In a landmark, twenty year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson

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